Risks of Termination Shock with Francisco Estrada

In this Climate Chat episode, we interview climate scientist Francisco Estrada about his recent paper assessing the risks of "Termination Shock" following the implementation of Solar Radiation Management (SRM, a.k.a., solar-geoengineering). Termination Shock is a rapid, severe warming spike that would occur if SRM were suddenly stopped, because accumulated greenhouse gases would heat the planet all at once instead of being masked. Francisco Estrada is a researcher at the Department of Environmental Economics, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. He also works in the Climate Change research group at the Center for Atmospheric Sciences of the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM). His PhD work centered on developing a new global Stochastic Integrated Assessment Model. He obtained a MSc on Risk Management from the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM). He was a contributing author for the Working Group II of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report and he has been selected as expert reviewer for the Working Group II contribution for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report. He has participated and coordinated research projects on the assessment of the potential impacts of climate change in agriculture, the economics of climate change and also on the generation of regional climate change scenarios. His recent paper is "Economic assessment of SRM under socio-political and geophysical tipping dynamics": https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ae33df An article about the paper appeared in New Scientist magazine: "Termination shock could make the cost of climate damage even higher": https://www.newscientist.com/article/2513124-termination-shock-could-make-the-cost-of-climate-damage-even-higher/ Follow Francisco on X/Twitter: @festradaCCA Climate Chat SRM/Solar-Geoengineering Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLep9tQgCqjCoWPp-16Oxhjt9QPvtynzql Climate Chat programs are available here: https://www.youtube.com/@climatechat/streams Please Like and Subscribe! Leon Simons is a climate scientist based in the Netherlands. He was a co-author with James Hansen on the 2023 "Global Warming in the Pipeline" paper that discussed the recent acceleration in global warming. Leon's work has focused recently on changes in aerosol emissions from ships and the impact of those changes on climate change. You can access Leon's research writings here: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Leon-Simons Follow Leon on X/Twitter: @LeonSimons8 and Bluesky: ‪@leonsimons.bsky.social‬ Follow Leon on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/c/LeonSimons/home Dan Miller has been giving talks around the world on the need for urgent climate action for over 20 years. He is co-founder of The Roda Group, a climate-tech venture capital group, and he serves as an advisor for other climate funds and climate-focused non-profit groups. He started Climate Chat in 2021 on Clubhouse and added YouTube in 2023. Follow Dan Miller on X/Twitter: @danmiller999 Follow Dan Miller on Bluesky: @danmiller999.bsky.social and @climatechat.bsky.social Follow Stacey Randecker on X/Twitter: @DrivingMzStacey and Bluesky: @bikingmzstacey.bsky.social Follow Eli Rabani on X/Twitter: @radsci and Bluesky: @radsci.bsky.social You can leave a question in the YouTube Live chat. Please begin your question with "Question:" to make it easy for our mods to spot it. For more Climate Chat episodes, see our YouTube home page: https://www.youtube.com/@climatechat For recent YouTube Live Climate Chat programs: https://www.youtube.com/@climatechat/streams