2026年二月底,美國與以色列對伊朗發動「史詩怒火」軍事行動,伊朗最高領導層雖遭突襲,仍以飛彈與無人機等小型武器持續反擊,戰火延燒周邊海灣國家至今未見停歇,更導致伊朗封鎖荷姆茲海峽、國際原油大漲,預計將進一步衝擊全球經濟。情勢如何演變至今?與伊朗的政治軍事體制有何關聯?
本集特別邀請到遠景基金會執行長,曾是美國康乃爾大學訪問學者的國際關係專家賴怡忠,為局勢帶來分析。川普的軍事行動,理由是什麼?為何陸續看到好幾種說法?這場戰事將如何發展,可能會如何落幕?美國期待的伊朗內部政權易主,甚至轉為親美,機會有多高?
面對美伊戰爭爆發與即將到來的川習會,中國的立場和挑戰是什麼?而從台灣的角度來看,面對全球地緣政治動盪、美伊戰爭軍事上的啟示,以及連帶的能源安全風險,我們又應該如何因應與布局?歡迎收聽!
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