April 7, 202600:20:42

台灣缺不缺電?就像問缺不缺錢? ft. 台灣電力與能源工程協會理事長劉文雄

節目不談政治口水,只談專業與理性。由去年10月份剛從工研院退休、現任台灣電力與能源工程協會理事長劉文雄博士,帶領聽眾跳脫「核能與否」的二元對立,從系統工程的高度,拆解台灣能源轉型的真正關鍵。

 

1. 拒絕「忽略式的簡化」:電力不只是選擇題

• 關鍵觀點:大眾常將「電力穩定」與「核能」直接畫上等號,但在管理學上這屬於「忽略式的簡化」。

• 專業解析:核能目前僅佔台灣發電量不到 10%,即便延役也還有 90% 的電力缺口需要解決。電力供應是一個複雜的函數,需從供給、需求與系統韌性多方考量。

2. 能源界的神經中樞:整合資源規劃 (IRP)

• 核心思維:引進美國與國際間通用的 IRP (Integrated Resource Planning) 觀念,強調「供給端」與「需求端」的同步管理。

• 亮點案例:與其花 10 年蓋電廠,不如透過「需求面管理」建構虛擬電廠。例如在尖峰時刻透過智慧調度減少用電,其效果等同於直接增加發電量。

3. 電力承載順序 (Loading Order):節能才是第一優先

• 政策建議:借鏡加州與歐盟法規,推動「能效優先」原則。

• 優先次序:當用電需求攀升時,應優先考慮「提高能源效率」與「需量反應」,其次是「再生能源」,最後才是「增加傳統機組」。

• 生活警示:反思能源浪費,例如「冷氣外洩」是在冷卻牆壁而非空間,這種無謂的耗損是轉型中必須補起的破洞。

 

「台灣缺不缺電?這就像在問你『缺不缺錢』。缺電與否,取決於你如何用電,以及在不同資源與環境條件下,我們如何做最有效的運用。」歡迎聆聽台灣電力與能源工程協會理事長劉文雄博士的精彩分享。

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